Yesterday we looked at predictions of how the Netherlands will look in thirty years' demographic. As interesting as I find those forecasts, it is and remains air cycling to a certain extent.
Therefore, now a look back at how our country has changed in the last ten years, since we can speak with great certainty.
Between 2010 and 2020, the population of the Netherlands grew by 861.000 immigrants, while the number of natives decreased slightly by 28.000.
In other words, a growth from 16.575.000 to 17.408.000 inhabitants.
In that time frame, the share of Dutch / native Dutch people decreased from 79.73% to 75.75%,
while the percentage of non-Western rose from 11.21 to 13.74%
and the percentage of Western immigrants from 9.06% to 10.5%.
The birth rate decreases sharply among both Natives and (Non-Western) immigrants:
-For Dutch people from 1.816 to 1.583 children per woman
- Immigrants from 1.772 to 1.61 children per woman (Second generation = 1.60 children)
-And Non-Westerners from 1.916 to 1.783 (Second generation = 1.672 children)
The percentage of Non-Western babies has increased from 16.74 to 17.87% in the last ten years, while the number of babies of Non-Western origin has slightly decreased. Relatively speaking, the native Dutch birth rate fell faster and the proportion of native babies decreased from 75.81 to 72.35%.
CBS - Population by origin 2010-2020
CBS - Birth rate for native Dutch (1.583 children per woman)
CBS - Birth rate Non-Western Immigrants (1.783 children per woman)
CBS - Birth rate for all immigrants (1.61 children per woman)
Statistics Netherlands - Number of 0-year-olds per population group (2000-2020)
Appendix: “Diversity hurts trust in strangers”