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The Netherlands in 2050

POPULATION: THE NETHERLANDS IN 2050

At the request of the House of Representatives, in response to the enormous net immigration in recent years, Statistics Netherlands and NIDI conducted research into what the Netherlands will look like in 2050.
This resulted in 7 scenarios of what CAN happen in the next thirty years.

The different scenarios boil down to this. In 2050 ...
- the population of the Netherlands has grown / shrunk to 17.100.000-21.800.000 (17.400.000 in 2019)
-30-40% of the population are of an ethnic minority * (24% in 2019)
-62 -75% of children of Dutch descent ** (73% in 2019)
-the net immigration balance between 16.000 and 93.000 per year
-the number of natives is between 11.200.000 and 13.400.000 (13.200.000 in 2020)

However, the predictions were made before the corona crisis,
* Not born in the Netherlands, or one or both parents was not born in the Netherlands.
** Both parents born in the Netherlands (including non-Western Dutch)

Sources:

CBS - Dutch population in 2050
https://www.cbs.nl/nl-nl/nieuws/2020/28/verkenning-bevolking-2050-meer-inwoners-met-een-migratieachtergrond
Background figures of the 7 population scenarios
https://www.cbs.nl/nl-nl/maatwerk/2020/28/verkenning-bevolking-2050-achtergrondcijfers

Appendix: “Jesse is already looking forward to the future”

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